The problem, however, is that the global homicide rate has very little use as an analytical tool. Using an analysis of known risk factors for homicide, the author concludes that even controlling for underreporting, risk factors of the transgender population predict a lower homicide rate than that of the cisgender population. The paper examines known homicides from 2010 to 2014. A 2017 study on transgender homicide rates published in the American Journal of Public Health acknowledges that the first part of the tweet is true. Both of Ngo’s original claims are technically factual, but they are highly statistically misleading. Let us assume for a moment, however, that what is behind this is actually lack of knowledge, and, from there, I will explain what is going on. And, after all, it is no secret that statistical facts can be used to mislead and lie.
It is for this reason that I believe that when they claim foul play from platforms like Twitter and play innocent regarding the nature of a technically factual claim like Ngo’s, I have to believe that the reason is bad faith rather than plain lack of knowledge of statistics. Both of them are accomplished academics in their fields, and while they may not be statisticians or work in fields specifically dependent on statistics, the statistical nuances behind Ngo’s claim are not so complicated that only someone with advanced knowledge in the field could comprehend them. Public intellectuals like Christina Hoff Sommers and Peter Boghossian quickly denounced the suspension as a politically correct action by Twitter, targeting Ngo for stating uncomfortable facts. The reaction from right-leaning and IDW-adjacent circles was nothing if not predictable. As I will explain further, I think the latter is the more likely conclusion. The reaction that followed, in particular from right-leaning figures, like those on the Intellectual Dark Web (or adjacent personalities) is a clear example of an insidious phenomenon that I believe can only be described as either statistical illiteracy-or bad faith. The article mentioned earlier from The Post Millennial reports that after this tweet, Ngo’s account was suspended for violating guidelines on hateful content. First, that the homicide rate for the transgender population is lower than that of the general population and second, that the majority of those homicides are committed by black men. The specific incident that got him suspended was a reply to Chelsea Clinton in which he pointed out two facts. According to The Post Millennial, for which Ngo serves as editor-at-large, he was unfairly suspended for stating nothing more than mere objective facts. This, however, is a particular case, because I think it is better described as an example of common argumentation tactic that happened to occur on Twitter. This is certainly true, and generally I do not find the discussions of events that happen on Twitter to be all that interesting. As we are all frequently reminded, Twitter is not real life. In late November of this year, controversial media figure Andy Ngo was suspended from Twitter. “While 67 percent of the victims are indeed black, and the majority are trans women, as reported, the majority of their killers are black as well,” Greene wrote.“ While both of Ngo’s claims are technically true, the proper context paints a widely different picture.”
Greene also reported black men are most likely to kill transgender people. Federalist Senior Writer Chad Felix Greene debunked the Left’s narrative that there is an epidemic against trans people when he reported the murder rate of trans victims is far lower than what the Human Rights Campaign reports. Also, who is behind the murders? Mostly black men,” Ngo tweeted.Īll aspects of Ngo’s statement have been reported as fact. The murder rate of trans victims is actually lower than that for cis population. “The US is one of the safest countries for trans people. Ngo responded to Clinton with other facts about transgender deaths. On #TDoR2019, we remember and honor the lives lost, hold their loved ones in our hearts and must commit to doing all we can to end this epidemic of violence and hate. Since 2013, more than 150 trans people have been murdered in the U.S., the majority Black transgender women.
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